Tractor Supply (TSCO)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $17.7B, Tractor Supply's free cash flow of $740M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 7% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is close to what the company has delivered over the last 9 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Tractor Supply's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from TSCO's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Tractor Supply's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.7B | $14.2B | $14.6B | $14.9B | $15.5B |
| Net income | $997M | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B |
| Free cash flow | $510M | $584M | $580M | $637M | $740M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.72 | $1.94 | $2.02 | $2.04 | $2.06 |
| Operating margin | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
Superinvestors who own TSCO
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows).
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Tractor Supply's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | April Mcclain Delaney |
0 | $45.30 | — |
| Mar 31, 2026 | April Mcclain Delaney |
0 | $45.30 | — |
| Mar 16, 2026 | April Mcclain Delaney |
0 | $48.78 | — |
| Mar 16, 2026 | April Mcclain Delaney |
0 | $48.78 | — |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $50.34 | — |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $50.34 | — |
| Mar 4, 2026 | April Mcclain Delaney |
0 | $50.59 | — |
| Mar 4, 2026 | April Mcclain Delaney |
0 | $50.59 | — |
| Feb 10, 2026 | April Mcclain Delaney |
0 | $54.05 | — |
| Feb 10, 2026 | April Mcclain Delaney |
0 | $54.05 | — |
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In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Tractor Supply's stock price imply?
At a market value of $17.7B, Tractor Supply would need its free cash flow to grow about 7% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 6% a year.
Are Tractor Supply insiders buying the stock?
10 open-market insider purchases of TSCO in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.