Starbucks (SBUX)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $110.0B, Starbucks's free cash flow of $2.4B (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 16% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is faster than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Starbucks's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from SBUX's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Starbucks's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.1B | $32.3B | $36.0B | $36.2B | $37.2B |
| Net income | $4.2B | $3.3B | $4.1B | $3.8B | $1.9B |
| Free cash flow | $4.5B | $2.6B | $3.7B | $3.3B | $2.4B |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.54 | $2.83 | $3.58 | $3.31 | $1.63 |
| Operating margin | 16.8% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 7.9% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.
Superinvestors who own SBUX
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 8 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersh Cohen ClearBridge Investments |
Trimmed | $203M | 0.17% | Q2 2026 |
| Tom Gayner Markel Group Inc. |
Held | $64M | 0.48% | Q2 2026 |
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Added | $25M | 0.01% | Q2 2026 |
| Joel Greenblatt Gotham Asset Management |
Added | $9M | 0.02% | Q2 2026 |
| Jean-Marie Eveillard First Eagle Investment Management |
Added | $2M | 0.00% | Q2 2026 |
| Sean Stannard-Stockton Ensemble Capital Management |
Held | $428,566 | 0.04% | Q3 2024 |
| Will Nasgovitz Heartland Advisors |
Trimmed | $425,621 | 0.02% | Q2 2026 |
| Mario Gabelli GAMCO Investors |
Added | $353,986 | 0.00% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Starbucks's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $95.39 | — |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $95.39 | — |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $99.45 | — |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $99.45 | — |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $96.07 | — |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $96.07 | — |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $97.62 | — |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $97.62 | — |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Jorgen Vig Knudstorp |
11,700 | $85.00 | $994,500 |
Get an alert at your buy price
Pick the price you'd be interested at. We'll email you when SBUX trades at or below it.
Free accounts get 3 price alerts. No card needed.
In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Starbucks's stock price imply?
At a market value of $110.0B, Starbucks would need its free cash flow to grow about 16% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew -3% a year.
Are Starbucks insiders buying the stock?
9 open-market insider purchases of SBUX in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own Starbucks?
8 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold SBUX in their latest 13F, including Hersh Cohen, Tom Gayner, Cliff Asness.
Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.