Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
$163.57 +2.89% on the day Market cap $10.7B 52-week range $153.83 to $216.30 Prices as of Oct 7, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
11% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $10.7B, Texas Roadhouse's free cash flow of $342M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 11% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Texas Roadhouse's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price10.8% a year
Free cash flow, last 9 years15.7% a year
Revenue, same period12.8% a year
Price to free cash flow31.2x

Fundamental grade

D

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from TXRH's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation5
Profitability6
Growth2
Financial health2
Cash efficiency4

Key numbers

P/E (trailing)25.9x
P/E (forward)25.1x
Price / free cash flow31.2x
EV / EBITDA16.2x
Price / sales1.71x
Price / book7.04x
Revenue growth+11.1%
Operating margin7.8%
Net margin6.6%
Return on equity26.5%
Dividend yield1.7%
Debt / equity1.34x

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Texas Roadhouse's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$3.5B$4.0B$4.6B$5.4B$5.9B
Net income$245M$270M$305M$434M$406M
Free cash flow$268M$266M$218M$399M$342M
EPS (diluted)$3.50$3.97$4.54$6.47$6.10
Operating margin8.6%8.0%7.6%9.6%8.1%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by products, fiscal 2025.

Restaurant and other sales$5.8B99%
Franchise royalties$28M0%
Franchise fees$3M0%

Superinvestors who own TXRH

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 6 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $785M0.27%Q2 2026
Ron Baron
Baron Capital (BAMCO)
Trimmed $60M0.09%Q2 2026
Hersh Cohen
ClearBridge Investments
Added $40M0.03%Q2 2026
Eric Marshall
Hodges Capital Management
Trimmed $5M0.32%Q2 2026
Joel Greenblatt
Gotham Asset Management
New position $1M0.00%Q2 2026
Jean-Marie Eveillard
First Eagle Investment Management
Trimmed $489,6450.00%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Texas Roadhouse's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Mar 3, 2026 Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
0$181.23—
Mar 3, 2026 Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
0$181.23—
Mar 3, 2026 Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
0$181.23—

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Texas Roadhouse's stock price imply?

At a market value of $10.7B, Texas Roadhouse would need its free cash flow to grow about 11% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 16% a year.

Are Texas Roadhouse insiders buying the stock?

3 open-market insider purchases of TXRH in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Texas Roadhouse?

6 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold TXRH in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness, Ron Baron, Hersh Cohen.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.