McDonald’s (MCD)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $170.2B, McDonald’s's free cash flow of $7.2B (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 7% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is close to what the company has delivered over the last 9 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from McDonald’s's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from MCD's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from McDonald’s's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $23.2B | $23.2B | $25.5B | $25.9B | $26.9B |
| Net income | $7.5B | $6.2B | $8.5B | $8.2B | $8.6B |
| Free cash flow | $7.1B | $5.5B | $7.3B | $6.7B | $7.2B |
| EPS (diluted) | $10.04 | $8.33 | $11.56 | $11.39 | $11.95 |
| Operating margin | 44.6% | 40.4% | 45.7% | 45.2% | 46.1% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.
Superinvestors who own MCD
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 11 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Halvorsen Viking Global Investors |
Trimmed | $765M | 2.2% | Q2 2026 |
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Added | $270M | 0.09% | Q2 2026 |
| Joel Greenblatt Gotham Asset Management |
Added | $39M | 0.09% | Q2 2026 |
| PRIMECAP Management PRIMECAP Management Co |
Held | $9M | 0.00% | Q2 2026 |
| Hersh Cohen ClearBridge Investments |
Trimmed | $2M | 0.00% | Q2 2026 |
| Dodge & Cox Dodge & Cox |
Held | $2M | 0.00% | Q2 2026 |
| Mark Boyar Boyar Asset Management |
Trimmed | $1M | 0.79% | Q2 2026 |
| Murray Stahl Horizon Kinetics LLC |
Held | $929,596 | 0.01% | Q2 2026 |
| Mario Gabelli GAMCO Investors |
Added | $710,375 | 0.01% | Q2 2026 |
| Eric Marshall Hodges Capital Management |
Trimmed | $580,934 | 0.04% | Q2 2026 |
| Will Nasgovitz Heartland Advisors |
Held | $264,904 | 0.01% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by McDonald’s's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $308.72 | — |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $308.72 | — |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $308.72 | — |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $308.26 | — |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $308.26 | — |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $308.26 | — |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $327.74 | — |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $327.74 | — |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $327.74 | — |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $309.43 | — |
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In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does McDonald’s's stock price imply?
At a market value of $170.2B, McDonald’s would need its free cash flow to grow about 7% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 6% a year.
Are McDonald’s insiders buying the stock?
10 open-market insider purchases of MCD in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own McDonald’s?
11 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold MCD in their latest 13F, including Andreas Halvorsen, Cliff Asness, Joel Greenblatt.
Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.