Mosaic (MOS)

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs · S&P 500
$20.94 -1.64% on the day Market cap $6.3B 52-week range $19.80 to $36.00 Prices as of Oct 7, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Mosaic's free cash flow was negative in fiscal 2025, so a cash-flow reverse DCF doesn't give a meaningful answer. The Modeling tab works from revenue and margins instead.

Fundamental grade

F

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from MOS's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation7
Profitability1
Growth0
Financial health3
Cash efficiency0

Key numbers

P/E (trailing)140.5x
P/E (forward)18.9x
Price / free cash flow—
EV / EBITDA13.1x
Price / sales0.51x
Price / book0.54x
Revenue growth-6.0%
Operating margin-1.4%
Net margin-5.2%
Return on equity-5.6%
Dividend yield4.5%
Debt / equity1.13x

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Mosaic's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$12.4B$19.1B$13.7B$11.1B$12.1B
Net income$1.6B$3.6B$1.2B$175M$541M
Free cash flow$898M$2.7B$1.0B$47M-$535M
EPS (diluted)$4.27$10.06$3.50$0.55$1.70
Operating margin20.0%25.0%9.8%5.6%6.8%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.

Mosaic Fertilizantes$4.8B40%
Phosphates Segment$3.9B32%
Potash Segment$2.7B22%
Corporate Eliminations And Other Segment$669M6%

Superinvestors who own MOS

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 5 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $388M0.14%Q2 2026
Donald Smith
Donald Smith & Co.
Added $164M2.9%Q2 2026
David Iben
Kopernik Global Investors
New position $24M1.5%Q2 2026
Joel Greenblatt
Gotham Asset Management
Trimmed $4M0.01%Q2 2026
John Rogers
Ariel Investments
Trimmed $3M0.03%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Mosaic's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Mar 23, 2026 Ro Khanna
0$24.09—
Mar 23, 2026 Ro Khanna
0$24.09—
Jan 9, 2026 Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
0$25.96—
Jan 9, 2026 Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
0$25.96—

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

Are Mosaic insiders buying the stock?

4 open-market insider purchases of MOS in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Mosaic?

5 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold MOS in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness, Donald Smith, David Iben.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.