Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $13.6B, Stanley Black & Decker's free cash flow of $688M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 5% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is faster than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Stanley Black & Decker's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from SWK's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Stanley Black & Decker's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $15.3B | $16.9B | $15.8B | $15.4B | $15.1B |
| Net income | $1.7B | $1.1B | -$310M | $294M | $402M |
| Free cash flow | $144M | -$2.0B | $853M | $753M | $688M |
| EPS (diluted) | $10.16 | $6.76 | -$2.07 | $1.95 | $2.65 |
| Operating margin | 10.4% | 0.22% | -2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.
Superinvestors who own SWK
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 2 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Added | $169M | 0.06% | Q2 2026 |
| Joel Greenblatt Gotham Asset Management |
Trimmed | $39M | 0.09% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Stanley Black & Decker's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $85.57 | — |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $85.57 | — |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Gary C. Peters |
0 | $82.42 | — |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Gary C. Peters |
0 | $82.42 | — |
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In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Stanley Black & Decker's stock price imply?
At a market value of $13.6B, Stanley Black & Decker would need its free cash flow to grow about 5% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew -2% a year.
Are Stanley Black & Decker insiders buying the stock?
4 open-market insider purchases of SWK in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own Stanley Black & Decker?
2 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold SWK in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness, Joel Greenblatt.
Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.