Fossil (FOSL)

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories
$7.15 +2.14% on the day Market cap $418M 52-week range $1.70 to $7.33 Prices as of Oct 11, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Fossil's free cash flow was negative in fiscal 2025, so a cash-flow reverse DCF doesn't give a meaningful answer. The Modeling tab works from revenue and margins instead.

Fundamental grade

F

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from FOSL's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation6
Profitability1
Growth0
Financial health3
Cash efficiency0

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Fossil's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$1.9B$1.7B$1.4B$1.1B$1.0B
Net income$25M-$44M-$157M-$103M-$78M
Free cash flow$40M-$124M-$68M$40M-$60M
EPS (diluted)$0.48-$0.85-$3.00-$1.94-$1.45
Operating margin5.0%-0.09%-10.1%-9.1%-1.9%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by products, fiscal 2025. Every breakdown, year by year.

Traditional watches$815M81%
Jewelry$91M9%
Leathers$70M7%
Other$17M2%
Smartwatches$12M1%

Superinvestors who own FOSL

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 2 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Bill Miller
Miller Value Partners
Trimmed $9M2.1%Q2 2026
Jean-Marie Eveillard
First Eagle Investment Management
Held $1M0.00%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Fossil's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you. Every purchase since records began.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Dec 3, 2025 Suzanne M Coulter
28,170$3.62$101,975
Nov 24, 2025 Randy J Greben
20,980$2.38$49,932
Nov 21, 2025 Pamela J Edwards
10,000$2.37$23,700
Nov 20, 2025 Gail B Tifford
33,000$2.40$79,200
Nov 20, 2025 Wendy Lee Schoppert
41,322$2.47$102,065
Nov 18, 2025 Franco Fogliato
200,000$1.80$360,000
Nov 18, 2025 Joe T Martin
56,180$1.78$100,000

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

Are Fossil insiders buying the stock?

7 open-market insider purchases of FOSL in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Fossil?

2 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold FOSL in their latest 13F, including Bill Miller, Jean-Marie Eveillard.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.