Carrier Global (CARR)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $44.7B, Carrier Global's free cash flow of $2.1B (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 6% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is faster than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 7 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Carrier Global's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from CARR's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Carrier Global's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $20.6B | $17.3B | $19.0B | $22.5B | $21.7B |
| Net income | $1.7B | $3.5B | $1.3B | $5.6B | $1.5B |
| Free cash flow | $1.9B | $1.4B | $2.2B | $44M | $2.1B |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.87 | $4.10 | $1.58 | $6.15 | $1.72 |
| Operating margin | 12.8% | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.
Superinvestors who own CARR
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 8 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodge & Cox Dodge & Cox |
Added | $2.0B | 1.1% | Q2 2026 |
| PRIMECAP Management PRIMECAP Management Co |
Added | $284M | 0.17% | Q2 2026 |
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Added | $207M | 0.07% | Q2 2026 |
| Ric Dillon Diamond Hill Capital Management |
Trimmed | $131M | 1.0% | Q2 2026 |
| Joel Greenblatt Gotham Asset Management |
Added | $23M | 0.05% | Q2 2026 |
| Tom Gayner Markel Group Inc. |
Held | $17M | 0.13% | Q2 2026 |
| Mario Gabelli GAMCO Investors |
Trimmed | $6M | 0.05% | Q2 2026 |
| Hersh Cohen ClearBridge Investments |
Trimmed | $4M | 0.00% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Carrier Global's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Rick Larsen |
0 | $55.46 | — |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Rick Larsen |
0 | $55.46 | — |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $57.32 | — |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $57.32 | — |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $53.45 | — |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $53.45 | — |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Julie Johnson |
0 | $59.11 | — |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Julie Johnson |
0 | $59.11 | — |
Get an alert at your buy price
Pick the price you'd be interested at. We'll email you when CARR trades at or below it.
Free accounts get 3 price alerts. No card needed.
In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Carrier Global's stock price imply?
At a market value of $44.7B, Carrier Global would need its free cash flow to grow about 6% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 7 years its free cash flow grew 2% a year.
Are Carrier Global insiders buying the stock?
8 open-market insider purchases of CARR in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own Carrier Global?
8 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold CARR in their latest 13F, including Dodge & Cox, PRIMECAP Management, Cliff Asness.
Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.