TWFG (TWFG)

$24.76 -2.98% on the day Market cap $322M 52-week range $16.56 to $31.30 Prices as of Oct 11, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
-11% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $322M, TWFG's free cash flow of $53M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about -11% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 3 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from TWFG's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price-11.2% a year
Free cash flow, last 3 years27.5% a year
Revenue, same period17.3% a year
Price to free cash flow6.1x

Fundamental grade

B

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from TWFG's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation7
Profitability6
Growth9
Financial health5
Cash efficiency9

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from TWFG's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.

Fiscal year2022202320242025
Revenue$154M$172M$204M$249M
Net income$0$0$3M$41M
Free cash flow$26M$30M$37M$53M
EPS (diluted)——$0.19$0.53
Operating margin15.4%14.8%13.7%14.9%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by products, fiscal 2025. Every breakdown, year by year.

Commission income$221M89%
Contingent income$13M5%
Branch fees$5M2%
Policy fees$4M2%
License fees$3M1%
Other income$1M1%

Superinvestors who own TWFG

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 2 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Ron Baron
Baron Capital (BAMCO)
Trimmed $27M0.04%Q2 2026
Francois Rochon
Giverny Capital Inc.
Added $16M0.53%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by TWFG's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

No open-market insider purchases of TWFG in the last 12 months. Most insider activity is selling and option exercises, which aren't shown here.

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does TWFG's stock price imply?

At a market value of $322M, TWFG would need its free cash flow to grow about -11% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 3 years its free cash flow grew 28% a year.

Are TWFG insiders buying the stock?

No open-market insider purchases of TWFG in the last 12 months, according to SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own TWFG?

2 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold TWFG in their latest 13F, including Ron Baron, Francois Rochon.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.