Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)

Industrials · Trucking · S&P 500
$178.02 -0.75% on the day Market cap $40.0B 52-week range $126.01 to $252.03 Prices as of Oct 7, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
15% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $40.0B, Old Dominion Freight Line's free cash flow of $955M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 15% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Old Dominion Freight Line's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price14.7% a year
Free cash flow, last 9 years23.1% a year
Revenue, same period7.0% a year
Price to free cash flow41.9x

Fundamental grade

B

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from ODFL's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation3
Profitability8
Growth7
Financial health6
Cash efficiency7

Key numbers

P/E (trailing)40.3x
P/E (forward)37.2x
Price / free cash flow41.9x
EV / EBITDA21.7x
Price / sales7.14x
Price / book9.03x
Revenue growth+10.4%
Operating margin25.8%
Net margin19.4%
Return on equity23.9%
Dividend yield0.58%
Debt / equity0.26x

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Old Dominion Freight Line's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$5.3B$6.3B$5.9B$5.8B$5.5B
Net income$1.0B$1.4B$1.2B$1.2B$1.0B
Free cash flow$663M$916M$812M$888M$955M
EPS (diluted)$4.45$6.09$5.63$5.48$4.84
Operating margin26.5%29.4%28.0%26.6%24.8%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by products, fiscal 2025.

LTL Service Revenue$5.4B99%
Other Service Revenue$50M1%

Superinvestors who own ODFL

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 6 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Hersh Cohen
ClearBridge Investments
Trimmed $306M0.25%Q2 2026
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $195M0.07%Q2 2026
Tom Gayner
Markel Group Inc.
Held $93M0.71%Q2 2026
Joel Greenblatt
Gotham Asset Management
Trimmed $33M0.08%Q2 2026
David Rolfe
Wedgewood Partners
Trimmed $24M4.9%Q2 2026
Jean-Marie Eveillard
First Eagle Investment Management
Added $20,5770.0%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Old Dominion Freight Line's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Feb 24, 2026 Ro Khanna
0$196.70—
Feb 24, 2026 Ro Khanna
0$196.70—

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Old Dominion Freight Line's stock price imply?

At a market value of $40.0B, Old Dominion Freight Line would need its free cash flow to grow about 15% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 23% a year.

Are Old Dominion Freight Line insiders buying the stock?

2 open-market insider purchases of ODFL in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Old Dominion Freight Line?

6 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold ODFL in their latest 13F, including Hersh Cohen, Cliff Asness, Tom Gayner.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.