Shift4 Payments (FOUR)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $4.1B, Shift4 Payments's free cash flow of $624M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about -10% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 7 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Shift4 Payments's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from FOUR's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Shift4 Payments's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.4B | $2.0B | $2.6B | $3.3B | $4.2B |
| Net income | -$48M | $75M | $86M | $230M | $119M |
| Free cash flow | -$6M | $265M | $332M | $493M | $624M |
| EPS (diluted) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating margin | -3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by products, fiscal 2025. Every breakdown, year by year.
Superinvestors who own FOUR
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 5 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersh Cohen ClearBridge Investments |
Trimmed | $58M | 0.05% | Q2 2026 |
| Joel Greenblatt Gotham Asset Management |
Trimmed | $7M | 0.02% | Q2 2026 |
| Bill Miller Miller Value Partners |
Trimmed | $1M | 0.34% | Q2 2026 |
| Jay Petschek Corsair Capital Management |
New position | $583,680 | 0.07% | Q2 2026 |
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Added | $286,986 | 0.0% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Shift4 Payments's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you. Every purchase since records began.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Jared Isaacman |
43,827 | $45.75 | $2M |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Jared Isaacman |
45,693 | $43.83 | $2M |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Jared Isaacman |
159,244 | $44.15 | $7M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Jared Isaacman |
136,993 | $48.38 | $7M |
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In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Shift4 Payments's stock price imply?
At a market value of $4.1B, Shift4 Payments would need its free cash flow to grow about -10% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 7 years its free cash flow grew 59% a year.
Are Shift4 Payments insiders buying the stock?
4 open-market insider purchases of FOUR in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own Shift4 Payments?
5 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold FOUR in their latest 13F, including Hersh Cohen, Joel Greenblatt, Bill Miller.
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Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.