Dillard's (DDS)

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
$655.25 -5.77% on the day Market cap $10.3B 52-week range $503.06 to $741.98 Prices as of Oct 7, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
3% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $10.3B, Dillard's's free cash flow of $624M (fiscal 2026) would need to grow about 3% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is close to what the company has delivered over the last 9 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Dillard's's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price2.5% a year
Free cash flow, last 9 years4.8% a year
Revenue, same period0.1% a year
Price to free cash flow16.6x

Fundamental grade

B

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from DDS's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation6
Profitability8
Growth4
Financial health7
Cash efficiency4

Key numbers

P/E (trailing)15.7x
P/E (forward)38.3x
Price / free cash flow16.6x
EV / EBITDA9.04x
Price / sales1.59x
Price / book6.08x
Revenue growth-0.4%
Operating margin—
Net margin10.5%
Return on equity32.1%
Dividend yield0.13%
Debt / equity0.77x

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Dillard's's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.

Fiscal year20222023202420252026
Revenue$6.5B$6.9B$6.8B$6.5B$6.5B
Net income$862M$892M$739M$593M$570M
Free cash flow$1.2B$828M$751M$610M$624M
EPS (diluted)$41.88$50.81$44.73$36.82$36.42
Operating margin—————

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by segments, fiscal 2026.

Retail Operations$6.2B96%
Construction$242M4%

Superinvestors who own DDS

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 2 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $84M0.03%Q2 2026
Joel Greenblatt
Gotham Asset Management
Added $63M0.15%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Dillard's's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

No open-market insider purchases of DDS in the last 12 months. Most insider activity is selling and option exercises, which aren't shown here.

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Dillard's's stock price imply?

At a market value of $10.3B, Dillard's would need its free cash flow to grow about 3% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 5% a year.

Are Dillard's insiders buying the stock?

No open-market insider purchases of DDS in the last 12 months, according to SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Dillard's?

2 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold DDS in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness, Joel Greenblatt.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.