CNH Industrial (CNH)

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
$12.43 -6.33% on the day Market cap $14.9B 52-week range $9.00 to $14.46 Prices as of Oct 7, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
-8% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $14.9B, CNH Industrial's free cash flow of $2.0B (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about -8% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from CNH Industrial's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price-8.1% a year
Free cash flow, last 9 years13.6% a year
Revenue, same period-4.5% a year
Price to free cash flow7.5x

Fundamental grade

D

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from CNH's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation6
Profitability3
Growth2
Financial health1
Cash efficiency7

Key numbers

P/E (trailing)37.7x
P/E (forward)29.8x
Price / free cash flow7.49x
EV / EBITDA14.7x
Price / sales0.97x
Price / book2.02x
Revenue growth+3.0%
Operating margin—
Net margin2.0%
Return on equity4.0%
Dividend yield0.81%
Debt / equity4.40x

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from CNH Industrial's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$17.8B$21.5B$22.1B$17.1B$15.3B
Net income$1.7B$2.0B$2.3B$1.2B$510M
Free cash flow$3.7B$96M$263M$1.4B$2.0B
EPS (diluted)$1.27$1.49$1.69$0.99$0.41
Operating margin—————

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.

Agriculture$12.4B69%
Construction$3.0B16%
Financial Services$2.7B15%

Superinvestors who own CNH

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows).

None of the superinvestors we track held CNH in their latest 13F.

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by CNH Industrial's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Nov 18, 2025 Suzanne Heywood
52,522$9.52$500,009
Nov 12, 2025 Howard W Buffett
4,100$10.29$42,189
Nov 11, 2025 Howard W Buffett
6,000$9.68$58,080
Nov 11, 2025 Vagn O Sorensen
10,385$9.62$99,904

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does CNH Industrial's stock price imply?

At a market value of $14.9B, CNH Industrial would need its free cash flow to grow about -8% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 14% a year.

Are CNH Industrial insiders buying the stock?

4 open-market insider purchases of CNH in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.