Allstate (ALL)

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty · S&P 500
$224.70 +0.19% on the day Market cap $58.3B 52-week range $188.08 to $277.22 Prices as of Oct 7, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
-12% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $58.3B, Allstate's free cash flow of $9.9B (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about -12% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Allstate's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price-11.5% a year
Free cash flow, last 9 years11.6% a year
Revenue, same period6.8% a year
Price to free cash flow5.9x

Fundamental grade

B

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from ALL's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation9
Profitability8
Growth7
Financial health1
Cash efficiency7

Key numbers

P/E (trailing)4.49x
P/E (forward)8.79x
Price / free cash flow5.90x
EV / EBITDA0.00x
Price / sales0.83x
Price / book1.93x
Revenue growth+11.8%
Operating margin—
Net margin19.0%
Return on equity39.5%
Dividend yield1.8%
Debt / equity2.70x

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Allstate's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$50.6B$51.4B$57.1B$64.1B$67.7B
Net income$1.6B-$1.3B-$188M$4.7B$10.3B
Free cash flow$4.8B$4.7B$4.0B$8.7B$9.9B
EPS (diluted)$5.01-$5.14-$1.20$16.99$38.06
Operating margin—————

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by segments, fiscal 2024.

Property Liability$58.3B91%
Protection Services$3.2B5%
Allstate Health and Benefits$2.5B4%
Corporate and Other$182M0%

Superinvestors who own ALL

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 5 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Trimmed $266M0.09%Q2 2026
Tom Gayner
Markel Group Inc.
Held $37M0.28%Q2 2026
Mario Gabelli
GAMCO Investors
Trimmed $9M0.08%Q2 2026
Joel Greenblatt
Gotham Asset Management
Added $4M0.01%Q2 2026
Dodge & Cox
Dodge & Cox
Held $617,4540.0%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Allstate's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Jan 29, 2026 Ro Khanna
0$198.25—
Jan 29, 2026 Ro Khanna
0$198.25—

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Allstate's stock price imply?

At a market value of $58.3B, Allstate would need its free cash flow to grow about -12% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 12% a year.

Are Allstate insiders buying the stock?

2 open-market insider purchases of ALL in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Allstate?

5 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold ALL in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness, Tom Gayner, Mario Gabelli.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.