Upstart Holdings (UPST)

Financial Services · Credit Services
$24.10 -0.37% on the day Market cap $2.4B 52-week range $22.56 to $55.22 Prices as of Oct 11, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Upstart Holdings's free cash flow was negative in fiscal 2025, so a cash-flow reverse DCF doesn't give a meaningful answer. The Modeling tab works from revenue and margins instead.

Fundamental grade

D

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from UPST's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation4
Profitability4
Growth9
Financial health1
Cash efficiency0

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Upstart Holdings's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$801M$907M$514M$637M$1.0B
Net income$135M-$109M-$240M-$129M$54M
Free cash flow$153M-$681M-$124M$176M-$166M
EPS (diluted)$1.43-$1.31-$2.87-$1.44$0.45
Operating margin17.6%-12.6%-50.0%-27.2%4.1%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by products, fiscal 2022. Every breakdown, year by year.

Platform and referral fees, net$732M81%
Servicing and other fees, net$175M19%

Superinvestors who own UPST

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows).

None of the superinvestors we track held UPST in their latest 13F.

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Upstart Holdings's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Sep 10, 2026 Paul Gu
Chief Executive Officer
50,000$25.55$1M
Nov 11, 2025 Paul Gu
100,000$39.23$4M

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

Are Upstart Holdings insiders buying the stock?

2 open-market insider purchases of UPST in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.