Smurfit WestRock (SW)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $20.5B, Smurfit WestRock's free cash flow of $1.2B (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 3% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 3 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Smurfit WestRock's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from SW's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Smurfit WestRock's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.
| Fiscal year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.5B | $12.1B | $21.1B | $31.2B |
| Net income | $1.0B | $825M | $319M | $699M |
| Free cash flow | $503M | $630M | $17M | $1.2B |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.96 | $3.17 | $0.82 | $1.33 |
| Operating margin | 11.5% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.
Superinvestors who own SW
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 3 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Trimmed | $127M | 0.04% | Q2 2026 |
| Joel Greenblatt Gotham Asset Management |
Trimmed | $27M | 0.06% | Q2 2026 |
| Hersh Cohen ClearBridge Investments |
Added | $7M | 0.00% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Smurfit WestRock's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $50.81 | — |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Ro Khanna |
0 | $50.81 | — |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. |
0 | $33.84 | — |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. |
0 | $33.84 | — |
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In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Smurfit WestRock's stock price imply?
At a market value of $20.5B, Smurfit WestRock would need its free cash flow to grow about 3% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 3 years its free cash flow grew 34% a year.
Are Smurfit WestRock insiders buying the stock?
4 open-market insider purchases of SW in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own Smurfit WestRock?
3 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold SW in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness, Joel Greenblatt, Hersh Cohen.
Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.