Sterling Construction Company (STRL)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $14.7B, Sterling Construction Company's free cash flow of $363M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 14% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Sterling Construction Company's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from STRL's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Sterling Construction Company's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.4B | $1.8B | $2.0B | $2.1B | $2.5B |
| Net income | $63M | $106M | $139M | $257M | $290M |
| Free cash flow | $112M | $158M | $414M | $416M | $363M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.15 | $3.48 | $4.44 | $8.27 | $9.38 |
| Operating margin | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 16.3% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.
Superinvestors who own STRL
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 4 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Mandel Lone Pine Capital |
New position | $512M | 3.1% | Q2 2026 |
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Trimmed | $88M | 0.03% | Q2 2026 |
| Hersh Cohen ClearBridge Investments |
New position | $50M | 0.04% | Q2 2026 |
| Joel Greenblatt Gotham Asset Management |
Trimmed | $25M | 0.06% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Sterling Construction Company's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.
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In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Sterling Construction Company's stock price imply?
At a market value of $14.7B, Sterling Construction Company would need its free cash flow to grow about 14% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 30% a year.
Are Sterling Construction Company insiders buying the stock?
No open-market insider purchases of STRL in the last 12 months, according to SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own Sterling Construction Company?
4 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold STRL in their latest 13F, including Stephen Mandel, Cliff Asness, Hersh Cohen.
Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.