Provident Financial Services (PFS)

Financial Services · Banks - Regional
$21.97 -1.39% on the day Market cap $2.9B 52-week range $17.69 to $25.49 Prices as of Oct 8, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
-10% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $2.9B, Provident Financial Services's free cash flow of $431M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about -10% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Provident Financial Services's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price-9.9% a year
Free cash flow, last 9 years15.0% a year
Revenue, same period8.2% a year
Price to free cash flow6.6x

Fundamental grade

C

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from PFS's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation7
Profitability6
Growth5
Financial health1
Cash efficiency9

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Provident Financial Services's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$58M$55M$58M$68M$73M
Net income$168M$176M$128M$116M$291M
Free cash flow$143M$191M$166M$425M$431M
EPS (diluted)$2.19$2.35$1.71$1.05$2.23
Operating margin—————

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by products, fiscal 2025. Every breakdown, year by year.

Wealth management fees$29M40%
Service charges on deposit accounts$21M28%
Insurance agency income$18M25%
Debit card and ATM fees$5M7%

Superinvestors who own PFS

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows).

None of the superinvestors we track held PFS in their latest 13F.

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Provident Financial Services's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

No open-market insider purchases of PFS in the last 12 months. Most insider activity is selling and option exercises, which aren't shown here.

Get an alert at your buy price

Pick the price you'd be interested at. We'll email you when PFS trades at or below it.

$

New accounts get 7 days of Pro, price alerts included. No card needed.

In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Provident Financial Services's stock price imply?

At a market value of $2.9B, Provident Financial Services would need its free cash flow to grow about -10% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 15% a year.

Are Provident Financial Services insiders buying the stock?

No open-market insider purchases of PFS in the last 12 months, according to SEC Form 4 filings.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 8, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.