MSC Industrial Direct Company (MSM)

Industrials · Industrial Distribution
$130.32 +0.12% on the day Market cap $7.1B 52-week range $78.80 to $132.33 Prices as of Oct 7, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
10% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $7.1B, MSC Industrial Direct Company's free cash flow of $241M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 10% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is faster than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from MSC Industrial Direct Company's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price10.0% a year
Free cash flow, last 9 years-2.9% a year
Revenue, same period3.1% a year
Price to free cash flow29.4x

Fundamental grade

C

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from MSM's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation5
Profitability6
Growth7
Financial health5
Cash efficiency4

Key numbers

P/E (trailing)34.1x
P/E (forward)24.7x
Price / free cash flow29.4x
EV / EBITDA17.9x
Price / sales1.81x
Price / book5.14x
Revenue growth+7.8%
Operating margin8.5%
Net margin5.9%
Return on equity16.3%
Dividend yield2.7%
Debt / equity0.76x

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from MSC Industrial Direct Company's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$3.2B$3.7B$4.0B$3.8B$3.8B
Net income$217M$340M$343M$259M$199M
Free cash flow$171M$185M$607M$311M$241M
EPS (diluted)$3.87$6.06$6.11$4.58$3.57
Operating margin9.3%12.7%12.1%10.2%8.0%

Superinvestors who own MSM

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 6 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $54M0.02%Q2 2026
Richard Pzena
Pzena Investment Management
Trimmed $44M0.13%Q2 2026
Joel Greenblatt
Gotham Asset Management
Added $33M0.08%Q2 2026
Charles Brandes
Brandes Investment Partners, LP
Trimmed $13M0.09%Q2 2026
Mario Gabelli
GAMCO Investors
Held $2M0.02%Q2 2026
Hersh Cohen
ClearBridge Investments
Trimmed $220,2950.0%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by MSC Industrial Direct Company's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Nov 18, 2025 Mitchell Jacobson
22,870$84.96$2M
Nov 13, 2025 Philip Peller
6,666$90.14$600,873
Nov 3, 2025 Mitchell Jacobson
51,954$84.43$4M
Oct 31, 2025 Mitchell Jacobson
34,073$84.76$3M
Oct 30, 2025 Mitchell Jacobson
95,779$84.92$8M

Get an alert at your buy price

Pick the price you'd be interested at. We'll email you when MSM trades at or below it.

$

Free accounts get 3 price alerts. No card needed.

In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does MSC Industrial Direct Company's stock price imply?

At a market value of $7.1B, MSC Industrial Direct Company would need its free cash flow to grow about 10% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew -3% a year.

Are MSC Industrial Direct Company insiders buying the stock?

5 open-market insider purchases of MSM in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own MSC Industrial Direct Company?

6 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold MSM in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness, Richard Pzena, Joel Greenblatt.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.