Louisiana-Pacific (LPX)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $4.4B, Louisiana-Pacific's free cash flow of $91M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 17% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is faster than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Louisiana-Pacific's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from LPX's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Louisiana-Pacific's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.9B | $3.9B | $2.6B | $2.9B | $2.7B |
| Net income | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | $146M |
| Free cash flow | $1.2B | $730M | $16M | $422M | $91M |
| EPS (diluted) | $14.09 | $13.87 | $2.46 | $5.89 | $2.08 |
| Operating margin | 44.3% | 32.4% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 7.7% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by segments, fiscal 2024. Every breakdown, year by year.
Superinvestors who own LPX
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 6 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway |
Held | $446M | 0.15% | Q2 2026 |
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Trimmed | $49M | 0.02% | Q2 2026 |
| Jean-Marie Eveillard First Eagle Investment Management |
Added | $23M | 0.04% | Q2 2026 |
| Joel Greenblatt Gotham Asset Management |
Added | $14M | 0.03% | Q2 2026 |
| Robert Robotti Robotti & Company |
Added | $6M | 1.0% | Q2 2026 |
| Francis Chou Chou Associates Management |
Held | $462,993 | 0.21% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Louisiana-Pacific's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you. Every purchase since records began.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Michael T. Mccaul |
0 | $84.64 | — |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Michael T. Mccaul |
0 | $84.64 | — |
| Feb 19, 2026 | F Nicholas Grasberger Iii |
20,000 | $85.49 | $2M |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Michael T. Mccaul |
0 | $74.72 | — |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Michael T. Mccaul |
0 | $74.72 | — |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Stephen E Macadam |
3,200 | $78.06 | $249,792 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Lisa C. Mcclain |
0 | $88.14 | — |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Lisa C. Mcclain |
0 | $88.14 | — |
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In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Louisiana-Pacific's stock price imply?
At a market value of $4.4B, Louisiana-Pacific would need its free cash flow to grow about 17% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew -9% a year.
Are Louisiana-Pacific insiders buying the stock?
8 open-market insider purchases of LPX in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own Louisiana-Pacific?
6 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold LPX in their latest 13F, including Warren Buffett, Cliff Asness, Jean-Marie Eveillard.
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Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.