Keros Therapeutics (KROS)

$11.95 +2.66% on the day Market cap $236M 52-week range $9.69 to $22.55 Prices as of Oct 11, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
-28% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $236M, Keros Therapeutics's free cash flow of $106M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about -28% a year for the stock to be worth today's price.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Keros Therapeutics's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price-27.6% a year
Free cash flow, last – years—
Revenue, same period70.3% a year
Price to free cash flow2.2x

Fundamental grade

F

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from KROS's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation1
Profitability0
Growth0
Financial health9
Cash efficiency9

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Keros Therapeutics's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$20M$0$151,000$4M$244M
Net income-$59M-$105M-$153M-$187M$87M
Free cash flow-$63M-$71M-$127M-$163M$106M
EPS (diluted)-$2.52-$4.15-$5.20-$5.00$2.30
Operating margin-280.5%—-112543.7%-5939.0%27.7%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by products, fiscal 2025. Every breakdown, year by year.

License revenue$205M84%
Service revenue$39M16%

Superinvestors who own KROS

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 1 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $10M0.00%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Keros Therapeutics's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

No open-market insider purchases of KROS in the last 12 months. Most insider activity is selling and option exercises, which aren't shown here.

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Keros Therapeutics's stock price imply?

At a market value of $236M, Keros Therapeutics would need its free cash flow to grow about -28% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price.

Are Keros Therapeutics insiders buying the stock?

No open-market insider purchases of KROS in the last 12 months, according to SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Keros Therapeutics?

1 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold KROS in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.