Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
$62.86 -1.23% on the day Market cap $2.7B 52-week range $60.44 to $83.18 Prices as of Oct 11, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
-1% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $2.7B, Green Brick Partners's free cash flow of $208M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about -1% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is slower than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 5 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Green Brick Partners's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price-0.6% a year
Free cash flow, last 5 years45.3% a year
Revenue, same period20.1% a year
Price to free cash flow13.0x

Fundamental grade

C

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from GRBK's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation8
Profitability6
Growth0
Financial health7
Cash efficiency7

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Green Brick Partners's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$1.4B$1.8B$1.7B$2.1B$2.0B
Net income$190M$292M$285M$382M$313M
Free cash flow-$94M$89M$206M$22M$208M
EPS (diluted)$3.72$6.02$6.14$8.45$7.07
Operating margin—————

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025. Every breakdown, year by year.

us-gaap_HomeBuildingMember$2.1B100%
sic_Z6552 Land Subdividers and Developers (No Cemeteries)$7M0%

Superinvestors who own GRBK

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 4 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
David Einhorn
Greenlight Capital
Trimmed $592M28.9%Q4 2023
Eric Marshall
Hodges Capital Management
New position $7M0.44%Q2 2026
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $3M0.00%Q2 2026
Ric Dillon
Diamond Hill Capital Management
Added $1M0.01%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Green Brick Partners's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

No open-market insider purchases of GRBK in the last 12 months. Most insider activity is selling and option exercises, which aren't shown here.

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Green Brick Partners's stock price imply?

At a market value of $2.7B, Green Brick Partners would need its free cash flow to grow about -1% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 5 years its free cash flow grew 45% a year.

Are Green Brick Partners insiders buying the stock?

No open-market insider purchases of GRBK in the last 12 months, according to SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Green Brick Partners?

4 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold GRBK in their latest 13F, including David Einhorn, Eric Marshall, Cliff Asness.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.