Exponent (EXPO)
What the price implies
A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.
At a market value of $3.5B, Exponent's free cash flow of $122M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 10% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is close to what the company has delivered over the last 9 years.
Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Exponent's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.
Fundamental grade
Five factors scored 1 to 9 from EXPO's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.
Key numbers
Results from SEC filings
Fiscal years, from Exponent's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $466M | $513M | $537M | $559M | $582M |
| Net income | $101M | $102M | $100M | $109M | $106M |
| Free cash flow | $118M | $82M | $111M | $138M | $122M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.90 | $1.96 | $1.94 | $2.11 | $2.07 |
| Operating margin | 23.4% | 27.4% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 20.6% |
Where the revenue comes from
Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025. Every breakdown, year by year.
Superinvestors who own EXPO
From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 2 of the investors we track hold it.
| Investor | Last quarter | Value | % of portfolio | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Asness AQR Capital Management |
Added | $67M | 0.02% | Q2 2026 |
| Ron Baron Baron Capital (BAMCO) |
Trimmed | $21M | 0.03% | Q2 2026 |
Insider buying
Open-market purchases by Exponent's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you. Every purchase since records began.
| Date | Insider | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Shukri Jeries Souri Group Vice President |
184 | $68.45 | $12,594 |
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In the full deep dive
Questions
What growth does Exponent's stock price imply?
At a market value of $3.5B, Exponent would need its free cash flow to grow about 10% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 10% a year.
Are Exponent insiders buying the stock?
1 open-market insider purchase of EXPO in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.
Which superinvestors own Exponent?
2 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold EXPO in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness, Ron Baron.
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Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.