Casella Waste Systems (CWST)

Industrials · Waste Management
$83.26 +1.46% on the day Market cap $5.4B 52-week range $74.05 to $107.96 Prices as of Oct 7, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
20% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $5.4B, Casella Waste Systems's free cash flow of $85M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about 20% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is faster than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 9 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Casella Waste Systems's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price20.4% a year
Free cash flow, last 9 years13.9% a year
Revenue, same period14.0% a year
Price to free cash flow64.3x

Fundamental grade

D

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from CWST's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation4
Profitability3
Growth4
Financial health2
Cash efficiency4

Key numbers

P/E (trailing)778.7x
P/E (forward)87.4x
Price / free cash flow64.3x
EV / EBITDA16.2x
Price / sales2.79x
Price / book3.41x
Revenue growth+16.9%
Operating margin3.4%
Net margin0.29%
Return on equity0.36%
Dividend yield—
Debt / equity1.25x

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Casella Waste Systems's 10-K filings. The deep dive has 15+ years, quarters and every line.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$889M$1.1B$1.3B$1.6B$1.8B
Net income$41M$53M$25M$14M$8M
Free cash flow$59M$86M$78M$78M$85M
EPS (diluted)$0.80$1.03$0.46$0.23$0.12
Operating margin8.7%8.8%6.4%4.7%3.5%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by segments, fiscal 2025.

Western$663M36%
Eastern$473M26%
Resource Solutions$360M20%
Mid-Atlantic$341M19%

Superinvestors who own CWST

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 4 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Hersh Cohen
ClearBridge Investments
Added $118M0.10%Q2 2026
Ron Baron
Baron Capital (BAMCO)
Added $94M0.14%Q2 2026
Mario Gabelli
GAMCO Investors
Held $10M0.09%Q2 2026
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $3M0.00%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Casella Waste Systems's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

No open-market insider purchases of CWST in the last 12 months. Most insider activity is selling and option exercises, which aren't shown here.

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Casella Waste Systems's stock price imply?

At a market value of $5.4B, Casella Waste Systems would need its free cash flow to grow about 20% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 9 years its free cash flow grew 14% a year.

Are Casella Waste Systems insiders buying the stock?

No open-market insider purchases of CWST in the last 12 months, according to SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Casella Waste Systems?

4 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold CWST in their latest 13F, including Hersh Cohen, Ron Baron, Mario Gabelli.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 7, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.