Cerence (CRNC)

Technology · Software - Application
$8.43 +1.08% on the day Market cap $349M 52-week range $5.85 to $13.49 Prices as of Oct 11, 2026

What the price implies

A reverse DCF: instead of guessing a fair value, it asks what growth today's price already assumes. How it works.

Free cash flow growth the price needs
-8% a year for 10 years

At a market value of $349M, Cerence's free cash flow of $47M (fiscal 2025) would need to grow about -8% a year for the stock to be worth today's price. That is faster than the company has grown its free cash flow over the last 7 years.

Assumes a 9% discount rate and 3% growth after year 10, on free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital spending) from Cerence's SEC filings. Change any assumption, or model revenue and margins instead, in the Modeling tab, or try your own numbers in the reverse DCF calculator.

Implied by the price-8.2% a year
Free cash flow, last 7 years-11.3% a year
Revenue, same period-1.4% a year
Price to free cash flow7.5x

Fundamental grade

C

Five factors scored 1 to 9 from CRNC's latest numbers, weighted into one grade. It describes the business, not whether the stock is a buy.

Valuation6
Profitability3
Growth5
Financial health4
Cash efficiency7

Results from SEC filings

Fiscal years, from Cerence's 10-K filings. Ten years of the full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow.

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue$387M$328M$294M$332M$252M
Net income$46M-$311M-$56M-$588M-$19M
Free cash flow$62M-$20M$2M$12M$47M
EPS (diluted)$1.17-$7.93-$1.40-$14.12-$0.43
Operating margin15.7%-56.2%-9.2%-174.9%-0.91%

Where the revenue comes from

Revenue by products, fiscal 2025. Every breakdown, year by year.

License$141M56%
Professional services$58M23%
Connected services$53M21%

Superinvestors who own CRNC

From each investor's latest 13F filing (what a 13F shows). 1 of the investors we track hold it.

InvestorLast quarterValue% of portfolioQuarter
Cliff Asness
AQR Capital Management
Added $13M0.00%Q2 2026

Insider buying

Open-market purchases by Cerence's executives and directors in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings. What insider buying tells you.

DateInsiderSharesPriceValue
Feb 15, 2026 Antonio Rodriquez
CFO
2,000$7.02$14,040

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In the full deep dive

DCF fair value per share
Yearly return (IRR) at today's price
Growth implied by revenue and margins
15+ years of statements and quarters

Questions

What growth does Cerence's stock price imply?

At a market value of $349M, Cerence would need its free cash flow to grow about -8% a year for 10 years (discounted at 9%, 3% growth after that) to be worth today's price. Over the last 7 years its free cash flow grew -11% a year.

Are Cerence insiders buying the stock?

1 open-market insider purchase of CRNC in the last 12 months, from SEC Form 4 filings.

Which superinvestors own Cerence?

1 of the superinvestors Investingly tracks hold CRNC in their latest 13F, including Cliff Asness.

Prices and ratios as of Oct 11, 2026; statements from SEC filings. Information only, not investment advice. Superinvestor holdings come from 13F filings, which are filed up to 45 days after each quarter ends.